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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | 6,446.94 | 93.8 | 6,044 | −137.99 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 9,090.94 | 43.2 | 3,922.74 | +41.09 |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?No | 1,671.01 | 99.3 | 1,659.31 | +39.6 |
| Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | 1,073.54 | 97 | 1,040.8 | +18.2 |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | 1,084.29 | 93.8 | 1,017.61 | +203.78 |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes | 856.69 | 82.5 | 706.77 | +46.26 |
| National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?Yes | 608.7 | 99.6 | 606.57 | +6.57 |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 767.6 | 72.5 | 556.51 | +140.57 |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 15, 2026?Yes | 524.93 | 95 | 498.68 | +119.56 |
| Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | 481 | 97.6 | 469.22 | +1.37 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Yes | 465.73 | 99.4 | 463.17 | +2.62 |
| Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | 471.29 | 95.6 | 450.32 | −6.25 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 878.42 | 37.2 | 326.77 | +324.14 |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | 319.49 | 96.9 | 309.59 | −2.25 |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Yes | 520.93 | 51.5 | 268.28 | +161.91 |
| 2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?Zemmour | 346.29 | 62 | 214.7 | −84.96 |
| Will Union Centriste hold 53-55 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | 206.76 | 80.2 | 165.72 | +21.32 |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes | 1,763.79 | 8.9 | 156.98 | +27.42 |
| Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?Yes | 253.21 | 61.5 | 155.73 | +103.59 |
| Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?No | 173.32 | 89 | 154.25 | +11.17 |
| Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | 162.54 | 93.5 | 151.97 | +4.04 |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | 150 | 96.8 | 145.12 | +0.83 |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?No | 185.79 | 75.5 | 140.27 | +4.36 |
| California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold PropositionNo | 260.59 | 53.5 | 139.42 | +27.19 |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?Yes | 143 | 95.5 | 136.56 | +13.15 |
| Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | 114.08 | 95.8 | 109.23 | −0.19 |
| Will Markus Allard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?No | 111 | 93.4 | 103.67 | +3.14 |
| Will Alex Pretti rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?No | 95.89 | 92 | 88.22 | +7.67 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 809.59 | 10.6 | 85.41 | +70.41 |
| Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?No | 79.42 | 93.2 | 73.98 | +0.75 |
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