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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 15,602.55 | 93.5 | 14,588.38 | +1,374.79 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 12,975.77 | 97.1 | 12,599.47 | +687.83 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 13,426.06 | 83.5 | 11,210.76 | +604.58 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 12,179.62 | 89.5 | 10,900.76 | +511.15 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes | 11,250.02 | 87.5 | 9,843.77 | +105.88 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 10,000 | 80.5 | 8,050 | +94 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | 6,726.26 | 87.5 | 5,885.48 | −201.16 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | 6,096.3 | 86.5 | 5,273.3 | −59.22 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No | 4,764.24 | 84 | 4,001.96 | +349.94 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 5,100 | 62.5 | 3,187.5 | +25.5 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No | 3,830.04 | 83 | 3,178.93 | +183.39 |
| 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?No | 1,899.99 | 84 | 1,595.99 | −27 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No | 1,757.46 | 87 | 1,528.99 | +112.9 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?No | 1,452.68 | 99.6 | 1,446.87 | +85.33 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | 1,514.69 | 91.5 | 1,385.94 | +37.87 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | 1,156.32 | 95.6 | 1,106.02 | +23.7 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | 1,260.67 | 72.5 | 913.99 | +8.04 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | 798.05 | 96.8 | 772.11 | +9.98 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No | 750 | 89.5 | 671.25 | +11.25 |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Yes | 604.64 | 95 | 574.41 | +294.45 |
| Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?No | 485 | 96.6 | 468.27 | +22.07 |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?No | 344.51 | 89.5 | 308.34 | +53.4 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Yes | 446.79 | 62 | 276.79 | +44.92 |
| Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | 211.25 | 92.8 | 195.93 | +3.58 |
| Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | 134 | 98.2 | 131.52 | +5.56 |
| Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | 134.89 | 97.4 | 131.45 | +3.08 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 190.71 | 67.4 | 128.44 | +28.44 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?No | 117.23 | 97.2 | 113.89 | +47.25 |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | 122.29 | 92.4 | 112.93 | −0.25 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yes | 342.37 | 32 | 109.56 | −90.24 |
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