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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 15.602,55 | 93,5 | 14.588,38 | +1.374,79 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 12.975,77 | 97,1 | 12.599,47 | +687,83 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 13.426,06 | 83,5 | 11.210,76 | +604,58 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 12.179,62 | 89,5 | 10.900,76 | +511,15 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes | 11.250,02 | 87,5 | 9.843,77 | +105,88 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 10.000 | 80,5 | 8.050 | +94 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | 6.726,26 | 87,5 | 5.885,48 | −201,16 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | 6.096,3 | 86,5 | 5.273,3 | −59,22 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No | 4.764,24 | 84 | 4.001,96 | +349,94 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 5.100 | 62,5 | 3.187,5 | +25,5 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No | 3.830,04 | 83 | 3.178,93 | +183,39 |
| 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?No | 1.899,99 | 84 | 1.595,99 | −27 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No | 1.757,46 | 87 | 1.528,99 | +112,9 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?No | 1.452,68 | 99,6 | 1.446,87 | +85,33 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | 1.514,69 | 91,5 | 1.385,94 | +37,87 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | 1.156,32 | 95,6 | 1.106,02 | +23,7 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | 1.260,67 | 72,5 | 913,99 | +8,04 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | 798,05 | 96,8 | 772,11 | +9,98 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No | 750 | 89,5 | 671,25 | +11,25 |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Yes | 604,64 | 95 | 574,41 | +294,45 |
| Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?No | 485 | 96,6 | 468,27 | +22,07 |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?No | 344,51 | 89,5 | 308,34 | +53,4 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Yes | 446,79 | 62 | 276,79 | +44,92 |
| Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | 211,25 | 92,8 | 195,93 | +3,58 |
| Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | 134 | 98,2 | 131,52 | +5,56 |
| Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | 134,89 | 97,4 | 131,45 | +3,08 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 190,71 | 67,4 | 128,44 | +28,44 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?No | 117,23 | 97,2 | 113,89 | +47,25 |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | 122,29 | 92,4 | 112,93 | −0,25 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yes | 342,37 | 32 | 109,56 | −90,24 |
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