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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 23 000 | 79,5 | 18 285 | −170,98 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 15 602,55 | 92,5 | 14 432,36 | +1 218,76 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 12 975,77 | 97,6 | 12 670,84 | +759,2 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 13 426,06 | 83,5 | 11 210,76 | +604,58 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 12 179,62 | 90,5 | 11 022,56 | +632,95 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes | 11 250,02 | 87,5 | 9 843,77 | +105,88 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | 6 726,26 | 87 | 5 851,85 | −234,79 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | 6 096,3 | 86,5 | 5 273,3 | −59,22 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No | 4 764,24 | 84 | 4 001,96 | +349,94 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | 3 717,8 | 90,5 | 3 364,61 | +11,71 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No | 3 830,04 | 85,5 | 3 274,68 | +279,14 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 5 100 | 63,5 | 3 238,5 | +76,5 |
| 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?No | 1 899,99 | 83 | 1 576,99 | −46 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No | 1 757,46 | 87 | 1 528,99 | +112,9 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | 1 156,32 | 95,4 | 1 102,55 | +20,24 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | 1 260,67 | 73,5 | 926,59 | +20,65 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | 798,05 | 97,2 | 776,1 | +13,97 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No | 750 | 87,5 | 656,25 | −3,75 |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Yes | 604,64 | 91 | 550,22 | +270,26 |
| Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?No | 485 | 96,6 | 468,27 | +22,07 |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?No | 344,51 | 91,5 | 315,23 | +60,29 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Yes | 446,79 | 58,2 | 260,26 | +28,39 |
| Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | 211,25 | 93,9 | 198,36 | +6,01 |
| Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | 134 | 98,2 | 131,52 | +5,56 |
| Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | 134,89 | 97,4 | 131,45 | +3,08 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 190,71 | 68,6 | 130,73 | +30,73 |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | 122,29 | 96,2 | 117,7 | +4,52 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?No | 117,23 | 99,6 | 116,7 | +50,06 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yes | 342,37 | 31 | 106,14 | −93,66 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?Yes | 1 662,35 | 5,4 | 89,77 | −313,35 |
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