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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | 13,756.56 | 17.5 | 2,407.4 | −1,919.62 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | 9,889.33 | 14.5 | 1,433.95 | +49.45 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?No | 1,641.71 | 74 | 1,214.87 | +586.56 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | 3,832.33 | 29.5 | 1,130.54 | −147.11 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes | 12,431.86 | 4.3 | 534.57 | −1,634.72 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?No | 736.6 | 62 | 456.69 | +90.23 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | 11,542.21 | 3.7 | 427.06 | +17.92 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 902.05 | 44.6 | 402.31 | +139.62 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | 3,308.19 | 12 | 396.98 | −885.88 |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 2,876.28 | 13.5 | 388.3 | −107.37 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?No | 344 | 87.5 | 301 | +100.18 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | 1,397.68 | 15.5 | 216.64 | −416.95 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | 262.17 | 73.5 | 192.69 | −6.22 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?No | 215.89 | 83.8 | 180.81 | +79.47 |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No | 180.65 | 99.5 | 179.75 | +8.13 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 519.15 | 34 | 176.51 | +46.56 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 1,045.93 | 15.5 | 162.12 | −5.23 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes | 600.06 | 19.5 | 117.01 | −18.51 |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 302.37 | 33.5 | 101.29 | +8.17 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes | 341 | 26.5 | 90.36 | −28.98 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 200 | 43.5 | 87 | +13 |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes | 163.95 | 50.5 | 82.79 | −7.08 |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 631.83 | 11.5 | 72.66 | −9.48 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | 500.29 | 13 | 65.04 | −178.26 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | 578.95 | 9.5 | 55 | −112.09 |
| Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Yes | 530 | 6.5 | 34.45 | −2.65 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes | 150.59 | 20.5 | 30.87 | +9.39 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | 9,896.43 | 0.3 | 29.69 | −440.93 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | 169.04 | 16.4 | 27.81 | +16.53 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | 243.33 | 10.7 | 26.04 | −20.42 |
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