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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 10,956.49 | 43.4 | 4,749.64 | +2,822.77 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 9,872.63 | 42.8 | 4,225.49 | +1,022.95 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | 3,575.57 | 96.2 | 3,441.49 | +70.05 |
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?No | 1,896 | 95.5 | 1,810.68 | +31.48 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | 1,408 | 83.5 | 1,175.68 | +2.99 |
| China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert HurkaczHubert Hurkacz | 2,828.5 | 39.5 | 1,117.26 | +42.43 |
| Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?Yes | 1,478 | 75 | 1,108.5 | +184.48 |
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?No | 1,256.73 | 80 | 1,005.38 | +49.89 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | 746.24 | 100 | 745.86 | +56.35 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | 750 | 95.5 | 716.25 | +26.25 |
| Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?No | 562.75 | 99.1 | 557.69 | +15.91 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No | 1,818.26 | 28.5 | 518.2 | −24.76 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?Yes | 728 | 54.5 | 396.76 | +138.17 |
| Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?No | 544.36 | 69 | 375.61 | −74.09 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03?Yes | 424.13 | 81.5 | 345.67 | +11.84 |
| Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?No | 376.1 | 87 | 327.21 | −6.13 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 382.93 | 62.5 | 239.33 | +1.91 |
| Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?Yes | 321.12 | 67 | 215.15 | +39.04 |
| Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?No | 200 | 95 | 190 | 0 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 4,151.45 | 2.6 | 110.01 | +63.37 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No | 1,220.63 | 8.5 | 103.75 | −6.1 |
| Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-03?No | 61.78 | 82.5 | 50.97 | +13.14 |
| Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5Over | 86.29 | 52 | 44.87 | +6.04 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | 41 | 96.6 | 39.63 | +5.08 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 3,241.54 | 1 | 30.79 | −5.62 |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 5,751.45 | 0.2 | 14.38 | −41.85 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 3,061.33 | 0.4 | 13.78 | −20.62 |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?No | 209.53 | 6.2 | 12.99 | +0.63 |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 4,151.45 | 0.3 | 12.45 | −34.19 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 4,151.45 | 0.2 | 6.23 | −40.41 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.