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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | 5,546 | 77.5 | 4,298.15 | +3,632.64 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 5,071.98 | 72.7 | 3,687.33 | +3,243.5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes | 3,515.97 | 59.5 | 2,092 | −527.27 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 5,013.97 | 37.5 | 1,880.24 | +1,378.91 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | 2,020.99 | 86.5 | 1,748.16 | +293.04 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | 6,195.99 | 24.5 | 1,518.02 | −306.16 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | 1,183.55 | 99.8 | 1,181.77 | +223.1 |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?No | 3,354.63 | 27.5 | 922.52 | −82.71 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No | 2,199.98 | 21.5 | 473 | −624.99 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | 900.13 | 47.5 | 427.56 | +31.51 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | 1,849.99 | 7.5 | 138.75 | −543.74 |
| Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | 1,947.45 | 5.5 | 107.11 | −107.11 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Yes | 14.11 | 68.2 | 9.63 | +4.13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?Yes | 44 | 0 | 0 | −0.44 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes | 774.1 | 0 | 0 | −7.74 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes | 1,823.81 | 0 | 0 | −68.82 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | 1,970 | 0 | 0 | −19.49 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes | 704.81 | 0 | 0 | −11.25 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?Yes | 301.97 | 0 | 0 | −5.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Yes | 281.4 | 0 | 0 | −2.81 |
| Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?Yes | 1,275.99 | 0 | 0 | −18.25 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | 19.36 | 0 | 0 | −0.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes | 1,785.43 | 0 | 0 | −83.33 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | 2,499.29 | 0 | 0 | −248.88 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes | 20 | 0 | 0 | −0.12 |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?Yes | 1,656.19 | 0 | 0 | −37.86 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | 2,053.94 | 0 | 0 | −101.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?Yes | 970.4 | 0 | 0 | −28 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Yes | 266.77 | 0 | 0 | −6.5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes | 2,499.61 | 0 | 0 | −169 |
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