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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | 5.546 | 77,5 | 4.298,15 | +3.632,64 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 5.071,98 | 72,7 | 3.687,33 | +3.243,5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes | 3.515,97 | 59,5 | 2.092 | −527,27 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 5.013,97 | 37,5 | 1.880,24 | +1.378,91 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | 2.020,99 | 86,5 | 1.748,16 | +293,04 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | 6.195,99 | 24,5 | 1.518,02 | −306,16 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | 1.183,55 | 99,8 | 1.181,77 | +223,1 |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?No | 3.354,63 | 27,5 | 922,52 | −82,71 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No | 2.199,98 | 21,5 | 473 | −624,99 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | 900,13 | 47,5 | 427,56 | +31,51 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | 1.849,99 | 7,5 | 138,75 | −543,74 |
| Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | 1.947,45 | 5,5 | 107,11 | −107,11 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Yes | 14,11 | 68,2 | 9,63 | +4,13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?Yes | 44 | 0 | 0 | −0,44 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes | 774,1 | 0 | 0 | −7,74 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes | 1.823,81 | 0 | 0 | −68,82 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | 1.970 | 0 | 0 | −19,49 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes | 704,81 | 0 | 0 | −11,25 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?Yes | 301,97 | 0 | 0 | −5,08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Yes | 281,4 | 0 | 0 | −2,81 |
| Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?Yes | 1.275,99 | 0 | 0 | −18,25 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | 19,36 | 0 | 0 | −0,04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes | 1.785,43 | 0 | 0 | −83,33 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | 2.499,29 | 0 | 0 | −248,88 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes | 20 | 0 | 0 | −0,12 |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?Yes | 1.656,19 | 0 | 0 | −37,86 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | 2.053,94 | 0 | 0 | −101,08 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?Yes | 970,4 | 0 | 0 | −28 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Yes | 266,77 | 0 | 0 | −6,5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes | 2.499,61 | 0 | 0 | −169 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.