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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 1.004,06 | 71 | 713,39 | +606,39 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Yes | 2.502,8 | 26,5 | 663,24 | −27,17 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 1.013,85 | 45 | 456,74 | +229,74 |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 513,61 | 81,5 | 418,59 | +92,25 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | 500,84 | 73 | 365,61 | +162,19 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?No | 377,35 | 87,5 | 330,18 | +30,18 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | 508,8 | 48 | 244,22 | −105,42 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | 335,72 | 49 | 164,5 | +84,96 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No | 232,56 | 65 | 151,16 | +51,16 |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?No | 203,6 | 61,5 | 125,21 | +7,13 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?No | 317,96 | 38,2 | 121,3 | +40,77 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | 225,61 | 50,5 | 113,93 | +59,1 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?No | 186,44 | 26,4 | 49,31 | +3,97 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?No | 60 | 70,5 | 42,3 | +0,4 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?Yes | 1.094,02 | 3,8 | 42,12 | −54,78 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | 135,51 | 29,5 | 39,98 | −4,62 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No | 42,71 | 50 | 21,36 | +14,78 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?Yes | 121,81 | 10,5 | 12,79 | −40,47 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 240 | 3 | 7,2 | −4,8 |
| Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?No | 15 | 41,5 | 6,22 | +4,28 |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?No | 456,49 | 0 | 0,23 | −165,67 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Yes | 239,25 | 0 | 0,12 | −8,97 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?Yes | 103,55 | 0 | 0,05 | −9,95 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | 697,86 | 0 | 0 | −328,11 |
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