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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Yes | 2 502,8 | 36,5 | 913,52 | +223,11 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 1 004,06 | 71,8 | 720,42 | +613,42 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 1 013,85 | 48,2 | 488,17 | +261,17 |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 513,61 | 81 | 416,02 | +89,68 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | 500,84 | 74,5 | 373,13 | +169,71 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?No | 377,35 | 90,5 | 341,5 | +41,5 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | 508,8 | 55 | 279,84 | −69,8 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | 335,72 | 55 | 184,65 | +105,1 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No | 232,56 | 66,5 | 154,65 | +54,65 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?No | 317,96 | 45,4 | 144,2 | +63,66 |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?No | 203,6 | 61,5 | 125,21 | +7,13 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | 225,61 | 55,5 | 125,21 | +70,38 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?No | 186,44 | 37,8 | 70,38 | +25,03 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?Yes | 1 094,02 | 5,8 | 63,45 | −33,45 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?No | 60 | 70,5 | 42,3 | +0,4 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | 135,51 | 29,5 | 39,98 | −4,62 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No | 42,71 | 53,6 | 22,89 | +16,32 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?Yes | 121,81 | 10,5 | 12,79 | −40,47 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 240 | 2,2 | 5,16 | −6,84 |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?No | 456,49 | 0 | 0,23 | −165,67 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Yes | 239,25 | 0 | 0,12 | −8,97 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?Yes | 103,55 | 0 | 0,05 | −9,95 |
| Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?No | 15 | 0 | 0,01 | −1,94 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | 697,86 | 0 | 0 | −328,11 |
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