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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No | 5,128.41 | 82.5 | 4,230.94 | +538.27 |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?No | 2,708.37 | 82.5 | 2,234.4 | −66.27 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 2,099.56 | 80.5 | 1,690.15 | −73.39 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?No | 1,654.69 | 95 | 1,571.13 | +219.85 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?No | 2,147.75 | 68 | 1,460.47 | −1.29 |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | 1,545.91 | 78.5 | 1,213.54 | +90.89 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No | 2,134.69 | 41.5 | 885.9 | +94.16 |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?No | 749.75 | 88.5 | 663.53 | +7.69 |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No | 500 | 90.5 | 452.5 | +13.5 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No | 500 | 81.5 | 407.5 | −2.5 |
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | 300 | 97.2 | 291.75 | +122.13 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?No | 302.38 | 93.5 | 282.72 | +20.1 |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | 265.44 | 92.4 | 245.13 | +10.49 |
| Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | 249.99 | 85.5 | 213.74 | +17.25 |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No | 216.27 | 91.5 | 197.88 | +5.82 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | 250 | 69 | 172.5 | −10 |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?No | 374.45 | 35.5 | 132.93 | −13.03 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | 82.66 | 74.5 | 61.58 | +2.89 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No | 73.31 | 75.5 | 55.35 | +4.03 |
| Will Trump say "BMW" in October?No | 100 | 39 | 39 | −3.17 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 45.91 | 45 | 20.66 | +3.21 |
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