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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No | 5 128,41 | 82,5 | 4 230,94 | +538,27 |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?No | 2 708,37 | 82,5 | 2 234,4 | −66,27 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 2 099,56 | 80,5 | 1 690,15 | −73,39 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?No | 1 654,69 | 95 | 1 571,13 | +219,85 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?No | 2 147,75 | 68 | 1 460,47 | −1,29 |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | 1 545,91 | 78,5 | 1 213,54 | +90,89 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No | 2 134,69 | 41,5 | 885,9 | +94,16 |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?No | 749,75 | 88,5 | 663,53 | +7,69 |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No | 500 | 90,5 | 452,5 | +13,5 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No | 500 | 81,5 | 407,5 | −2,5 |
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | 300 | 97,2 | 291,75 | +122,13 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?No | 302,38 | 93,5 | 282,72 | +20,1 |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | 265,44 | 92,4 | 245,13 | +10,49 |
| Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | 249,99 | 85,5 | 213,74 | +17,25 |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No | 216,27 | 91,5 | 197,88 | +5,82 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | 250 | 69 | 172,5 | −10 |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?No | 374,45 | 35,5 | 132,93 | −13,03 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | 82,66 | 74,5 | 61,58 | +2,89 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No | 73,31 | 75,5 | 55,35 | +4,03 |
| Will Trump say "BMW" in October?No | 100 | 39 | 39 | −3,17 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 45,91 | 45 | 20,66 | +3,21 |
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