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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 8,783.6 | 21.5 | 1,888.47 | −1,714.78 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | 1,763.21 | 97.8 | 1,724.42 | +145.91 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No | 581.83 | 99.4 | 578.63 | +138.24 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026?No | 378.3 | 99.5 | 376.41 | +187.75 |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes | 1,469.12 | 11 | 160.87 | −167.18 |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?Yes | 1,471.81 | 4.6 | 67.7 | −25.37 |
| Will SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 72 | 60.6 | 43.6 | +26.47 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes | 615.05 | 2.2 | 13.53 | −277.69 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | 10 | 82.5 | 8.25 | +0.55 |
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Yes | 74.88 | 7 | 5.24 | −17.97 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | 205 | 0 | 0 | −6.97 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | 1,166 | 0 | 0 | −5.83 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | 66.86 | 0 | 0 | −4.85 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | 386.06 | 0 | 0 | −81.07 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | 34.03 | 0 | 0 | −26.88 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | 300 | 0 | 0 | −90 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | 286.32 | 0 | 0 | −52.42 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be in the Burnham cabinet?No | 155.57 | 0 | 0 | −1 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.