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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 18,122 | 86.5 | 15,675.53 | +1,443.65 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | 16,117.98 | 96 | 15,465.2 | +335.32 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 12,980.49 | 93.5 | 12,136.76 | +308.87 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 13,420.08 | 86.5 | 11,608.37 | +1,441.44 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 11,946.09 | 93.5 | 11,169.59 | +1,900.71 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | 9,213.45 | 99.8 | 9,199.63 | +804.23 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 12,038.1 | 71.5 | 8,607.24 | −674.16 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | 7,617.22 | 96.8 | 7,369.66 | +51.96 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | 8,581.58 | 85 | 7,294.34 | +814.36 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 5,143.11 | 77.5 | 3,985.91 | −597.43 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 3,965.72 | 88.5 | 3,509.66 | −19.83 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | 3,270.58 | 70.5 | 2,305.76 | +54.52 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | 2,491.08 | 89.5 | 2,229.52 | +144.34 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | 1,293.46 | 91 | 1,177.05 | +215.4 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?Yes | 821.06 | 85.5 | 702.01 | −10.23 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 497.1 | 84.5 | 420.05 | +29.34 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | 117.65 | 95.9 | 112.83 | +21.11 |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 95.99 | 87.5 | 83.99 | +9.12 |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No | 36.25 | 95.5 | 34.62 | +5.62 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 6,325.12 | 0 | 0 | −5,288.53 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | 3,940 | 0 | 0 | −3,743 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | 9,047.89 | 0 | 0 | −8,880.07 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | 4,000 | 0 | 0 | −3,600 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | 5,382.33 | 0 | 0 | −4,951.74 |
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