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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 18.122 | 86,5 | 15.675,53 | +1.443,65 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | 16.117,98 | 96 | 15.465,2 | +335,32 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 12.980,49 | 93,5 | 12.136,76 | +308,87 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 13.420,08 | 86,5 | 11.608,37 | +1.441,44 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 11.946,09 | 93,5 | 11.169,59 | +1.900,71 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | 9.213,45 | 99,8 | 9.199,63 | +804,23 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 12.038,1 | 71,5 | 8.607,24 | −674,16 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | 7.617,22 | 96,8 | 7.369,66 | +51,96 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | 8.581,58 | 85 | 7.294,34 | +814,36 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 5.143,11 | 77,5 | 3.985,91 | −597,43 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 3.965,72 | 88,5 | 3.509,66 | −19,83 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | 3.270,58 | 70,5 | 2.305,76 | +54,52 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | 2.491,08 | 89,5 | 2.229,52 | +144,34 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | 1.293,46 | 91 | 1.177,05 | +215,4 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?Yes | 821,06 | 85,5 | 702,01 | −10,23 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 497,1 | 84,5 | 420,05 | +29,34 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | 117,65 | 95,9 | 112,83 | +21,11 |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 95,99 | 87,5 | 83,99 | +9,12 |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No | 36,25 | 95,5 | 34,62 | +5,62 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 6.325,12 | 0 | 0 | −5.288,53 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | 3.940 | 0 | 0 | −3.743 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | 9.047,89 | 0 | 0 | −8.880,07 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | 4.000 | 0 | 0 | −3.600 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | 5.382,33 | 0 | 0 | −4.951,74 |
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