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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 400,000 | 79.2 | 317,000 | +117,000 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 400,000 | 20.8 | 83,000 | −117,000 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Yes | 20,061.38 | 98.8 | 19,830.67 | +2,138.93 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 17,928.15 | 86.4 | 15,489.92 | +2,987.6 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | 14,987.39 | 79.5 | 11,914.98 | +2,766.73 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 13,876.33 | 62.5 | 8,672.7 | +2,327.36 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | 93,671.97 | 4.9 | 4,589.93 | −8,112.93 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | 4,943.24 | 82.5 | 4,078.17 | +2,901.36 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 4,811.85 | 79.5 | 3,825.42 | +433.82 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 6,856.29 | 54.5 | 3,736.68 | −4.33 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | 6,000 | 59.5 | 3,570 | −750 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | 21,060.81 | 15.6 | 3,285.49 | +968.68 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | 7,695.26 | 37.5 | 2,885.72 | −115.43 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No | 2,622.93 | 90.5 | 2,373.75 | +428.11 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 279,286.66 | 0.6 | 1,536.08 | −21,667.83 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 2,860.84 | 37.5 | 1,072.81 | −357.6 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | 1,012.76 | 94.5 | 957.06 | +491.19 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 1,015.15 | 80.5 | 817.19 | +522.8 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | 4,578.46 | 12.5 | 572.31 | −973.18 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 109,286.74 | 0.4 | 491.79 | −21,365.56 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Yes | 6,040.56 | 6.5 | 392.64 | −151.01 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes | 9,326.3 | 3.5 | 326.42 | −233.16 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | 4,334.96 | 7 | 303.45 | −578.45 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 109,286.74 | 0.2 | 273.22 | −21,584.13 |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | 1,175.14 | 1.6 | 19.39 | +15.91 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | 70.34 | 17.5 | 12.31 | +5.98 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | 20,513.51 | 0 | 10.26 | −741.44 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No | 5.85 | 18.5 | 1.08 | +0.56 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No | 12,675.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | 107,267.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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