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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 400.000 | 79,2 | 317.000 | +117.000 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 400.000 | 20,8 | 83.000 | −117.000 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Yes | 20.061,38 | 99,4 | 19.951,04 | +2.259,3 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 17.928,15 | 87,4 | 15.678,16 | +3.175,85 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | 14.987,39 | 79 | 11.840,04 | +2.691,8 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 13.876,33 | 62,5 | 8.672,7 | +2.327,36 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | 93.671,97 | 5 | 4.636,76 | −8.066,09 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | 4.943,24 | 82 | 4.053,45 | +2.876,65 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | 21.060,81 | 18,6 | 3.917,31 | +1.600,5 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 6.856,29 | 56,5 | 3.873,8 | +132,8 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 4.811,85 | 78,5 | 3.777,3 | +385,7 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | 6.000 | 59,5 | 3.570 | −750 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | 7.695,26 | 37,5 | 2.885,72 | −115,43 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No | 2.622,93 | 90,5 | 2.373,75 | +428,11 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 279.286,66 | 0,6 | 1.536,08 | −21.667,83 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 2.860,84 | 37,5 | 1.072,81 | −357,6 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | 1.012,76 | 94,5 | 957,06 | +491,19 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 1.015,15 | 80,5 | 817,19 | +522,8 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | 4.578,46 | 12,5 | 572,31 | −973,18 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 109.286,74 | 0,4 | 491,79 | −21.365,56 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Yes | 6.040,56 | 6,5 | 392,64 | −151,01 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | 4.334,96 | 7,5 | 325,12 | −556,77 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes | 9.326,3 | 3,4 | 317,09 | −242,48 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 109.286,74 | 0,2 | 273,22 | −21.584,13 |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | 1.175,14 | 1,7 | 19,98 | +16,5 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | 70,34 | 17,5 | 12,31 | +5,98 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | 20.513,51 | 0 | 10,26 | −741,44 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No | 5,85 | 18,5 | 1,08 | +0,56 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No | 12.675,67 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | 107.267,2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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