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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No | 4,543.15 | 97.4 | 4,427.3 | +562.81 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | 1,038.14 | 50 | 519.07 | −80.4 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | 300 | 100 | 300 | +103.56 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?No | 274.38 | 100 | 274.38 | +252.61 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | 228.42 | 50 | 114.21 | −5.97 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 80.32 | 98.8 | 79.36 | +1.2 |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 2,663.74 | 1.4 | 35.96 | −73.25 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 26.61 | 100 | 26.6 | +0.49 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 17.5 | 100 | 17.49 | +0.32 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | 15.3 | 97.4 | 14.9 | +10.4 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 149 | 9 | 13.34 | +4.4 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | 9.09 | 100 | 9.09 | +1.18 |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 9.12 | 99.6 | 9.08 | +0.17 |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 5.61 | 100 | 5.61 | +0.1 |
| Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?No | 2.44 | 100 | 2.44 | +0.13 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No | 0.17 | 100 | 0.17 | +0.02 |
| Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?Yes | 60.62 | 0 | 0 | −11.32 |
| Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin shake hands on Friday?No | 1,260.07 | 0 | 0 | −40.32 |
| Will JD Vance say "Tax" 7+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?No | 727.52 | 0 | 0 | −104.75 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?Yes | 87.89 | 0 | 0 | −4.22 |
| Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?Yes | 1,000 | 0 | 0 | −170 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | 1,000 | 0 | 0 | −270 |
| Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | 220.76 | 0 | 0 | −118.81 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | 81.17 | 0 | 0 | −21.92 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?Yes | 388.51 | 0 | 0 | −56.39 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | 10,000 | 0 | 0 | −7,300 |
| Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 31?Yes | 252.49 | 0 | 0 | −16.16 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | 4,810.77 | 0 | 0 | −119.94 |
| Will Trump say "Shit" this week? (August 25 - 31)No | 204.53 | 0 | 0 | −139.08 |
| Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in August?Yes | 1,827.2 | 0 | 0 | −36.96 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.