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Proches au classement: #846 roberto73 #847 Nuriols65Cuba #848 Inferior-Overclocking #849 paddaa #850 KING-VIP23 #852 ANudeEgg #853 HibernatingParasite #854 0xb0E43B885657a33B347A4af1D05Bd5f3c3A7E99 #855 0xAc0DB77fa0f064601f5bcAC4C0F1540481eFb006-1761211599915 #856 4buc0
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No | 4 543,15 | 97,4 | 4 427,3 | +562,81 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | 1 038,14 | 50 | 519,07 | −80,4 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | 300 | 100 | 300 | +103,56 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?No | 274,38 | 100 | 274,38 | +252,61 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | 228,42 | 50 | 114,21 | −5,97 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 80,32 | 98,8 | 79,36 | +1,2 |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 2 663,74 | 1,3 | 34,63 | −74,58 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 26,61 | 100 | 26,6 | +0,49 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 17,5 | 100 | 17,49 | +0,32 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | 15,3 | 97,4 | 14,91 | +10,41 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 149 | 9 | 13,34 | +4,4 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | 9,09 | 100 | 9,09 | +1,18 |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 9,12 | 99,6 | 9,08 | +0,17 |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 5,61 | 100 | 5,61 | +0,1 |
| Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?No | 2,44 | 100 | 2,44 | +0,13 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No | 0,17 | 100 | 0,17 | +0,02 |
| Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?Yes | 60,62 | 0 | 0 | −11,32 |
| Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin shake hands on Friday?No | 1 260,07 | 0 | 0 | −40,32 |
| Will JD Vance say "Tax" 7+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?No | 727,52 | 0 | 0 | −104,75 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?Yes | 87,89 | 0 | 0 | −4,22 |
| Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?Yes | 1 000 | 0 | 0 | −170 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | 1 000 | 0 | 0 | −270 |
| Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | 220,76 | 0 | 0 | −118,81 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | 81,17 | 0 | 0 | −21,92 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?Yes | 388,51 | 0 | 0 | −56,39 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | 10 000 | 0 | 0 | −7 300 |
| Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 31?Yes | 252,49 | 0 | 0 | −16,16 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | 4 810,77 | 0 | 0 | −119,94 |
| Will Trump say "Shit" this week? (August 25 - 31)No | 204,53 | 0 | 0 | −139,08 |
| Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in August?Yes | 1 827,2 | 0 | 0 | −36,96 |
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