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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?No | 3,265.58 | 99.5 | 3,249.25 | +40.31 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 3,200 | 99.4 | 3,182.4 | +337.69 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | 5,014.64 | 45.5 | 2,281.66 | −135.16 |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No | 1,982.94 | 91.5 | 1,814.39 | +101.69 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 1,200 | 87.5 | 1,050 | +2.78 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | 1,010 | 84.6 | 853.96 | +7.58 |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No | 549.99 | 100 | 549.72 | +24.11 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?No | 576.16 | 93.2 | 536.69 | +64.84 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | 456.17 | 99.1 | 452.06 | +73.22 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?No | 528 | 79.4 | 419.5 | −12.18 |
| Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by September 30, 2026?No | 385.53 | 99.4 | 383.41 | +35.58 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No | 451.28 | 84 | 379.08 | +35.72 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | 436.88 | 84.5 | 369.16 | +32.77 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 350.01 | 99.4 | 348.08 | +33.47 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?No | 332.8 | 99.4 | 330.8 | +26.49 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | 870.08 | 36 | 313.66 | +10.09 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | 2,272.09 | 13.5 | 306.73 | −291.6 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | 299.99 | 95.4 | 286.19 | +5.26 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 280 | 99.4 | 278.46 | +51.66 |
| US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by September 30?No | 320 | 83.5 | 267.2 | +57.6 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?No | 300 | 84 | 252 | −2 |
| Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?No | 238.1 | 99 | 235.84 | +34.83 |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | 239.02 | 97.4 | 232.92 | +62.37 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | 245.1 | 92.5 | 226.72 | +37.09 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | 1,370.3 | 16.2 | 222.67 | −62.21 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?No | 220 | 98.9 | 217.58 | +74.27 |
| Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?No | 218.68 | 98.5 | 215.4 | +40.6 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | 250 | 83.2 | 208 | +9 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 204.99 | 99.7 | 204.38 | +73.23 |
| SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?No | 205 | 99.2 | 203.26 | +17.51 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.