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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?No | 3.265,58 | 99,6 | 3.254,15 | +45,21 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 3.200 | 99,6 | 3.187,2 | +342,49 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | 5.014,64 | 45,5 | 2.281,66 | −135,16 |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No | 1.982,94 | 91,5 | 1.814,39 | +101,69 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 1.200 | 86 | 1.032 | −15,22 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | 1.010 | 84,6 | 853,96 | +7,58 |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No | 549,99 | 100 | 549,72 | +24,11 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?No | 576,16 | 93,2 | 536,98 | +65,13 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | 456,17 | 99,1 | 452,06 | +73,22 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?No | 528 | 79,4 | 419,5 | −12,18 |
| Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by September 30, 2026?No | 385,53 | 99,4 | 383,41 | +35,58 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No | 451,28 | 82 | 370,05 | +26,69 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | 436,88 | 84,5 | 369,16 | +32,77 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 350,01 | 99,7 | 348,96 | +34,34 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?No | 332,8 | 99,4 | 330,8 | +26,49 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | 870,08 | 36 | 313,66 | +10,09 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | 2.272,09 | 13,5 | 306,73 | −291,6 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | 299,99 | 97,2 | 291,59 | +10,66 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 280 | 99,4 | 278,46 | +51,66 |
| US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by September 30?No | 320 | 83,5 | 267,2 | +57,6 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?No | 300 | 84 | 252 | −2 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | 1.370,3 | 18,2 | 249,39 | −35,48 |
| Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?No | 238,1 | 99,2 | 236,31 | +35,31 |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | 239,02 | 97,1 | 232,09 | +61,53 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | 245,1 | 93,5 | 229,17 | +39,54 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?No | 220 | 99 | 217,69 | +74,38 |
| Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?No | 218,68 | 98,4 | 215,29 | +40,49 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | 250 | 83,8 | 209,62 | +10,63 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | 250 | 81,8 | 204,5 | 0 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 204,99 | 99,7 | 204,38 | +73,23 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.