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Proches au classement: #80 jtwyslljy #81 trezorisbest #82 CemeterySun #83 deetown #84 weatherman12 #86 skyblue77 #87 lovelystuff #88 DarthVooncer #89 frankfrankfrank #90 ramadamaramadam
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | 509 808,62 | 85,5 | 435 886,37 | −5 865,35 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | 242 897,03 | 100 | 242 775,59 | +6 531,26 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 145 731,68 | 96,6 | 140 703,93 | +6 097,85 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No | 101 470,02 | 96,3 | 97 715,63 | +487,06 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 75 696,63 | 79,5 | 60 178,82 | +15 309,27 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | 53 108,06 | 92,5 | 49 124,96 | +33,67 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No | 27 959,04 | 100 | 27 945,06 | +1 354,86 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | 24 282,19 | 96,6 | 23 468,74 | +133,79 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | 19 999,99 | 99,8 | 19 969,99 | +350 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | 19 725,59 | 96,4 | 19 025,33 | +825,61 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No | 18 529,07 | 96 | 17 797,17 | +109,69 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | 17 486,76 | 94,5 | 16 524,99 | +2 374,27 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 14 924,7 | 89,5 | 13 357,61 | +324,94 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 14 091,72 | 90,5 | 12 753,01 | −370,41 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | 10 907,32 | 95 | 10 367,41 | +696,42 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 610 049,5 | 1,4 | 8 845,72 | +5 124,42 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | 21 368,38 | 40,5 | 8 654,19 | +779,58 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 10 208,06 | 83,5 | 8 523,73 | −357,27 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No | 7 315,07 | 97,8 | 7 154,14 | +312,14 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No | 4 892,47 | 91,5 | 4 476,61 | +176,85 |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No | 4 139,84 | 97,2 | 4 023,93 | +53,05 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 2 879 | 98,6 | 2 840,13 | +7,2 |
| Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No | 2 618,9 | 100 | 2 617,59 | +37,5 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 2 876,33 | 86,5 | 2 488,02 | +589,65 |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 623 886,37 | 0,4 | 2 183,6 | −1 622,1 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 1 932,35 | 84,5 | 1 632,84 | −28,98 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 627 428,49 | 0,2 | 1 568,57 | −2 506,43 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 623 886,37 | 0,2 | 1 559,72 | −2 245,99 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | 2 552,49 | 50,5 | 1 289,01 | −370,11 |
| Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 440 710,75 | 0,2 | 1 101,78 | −1 848,34 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.