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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 2 500 | 86,5 | 2 162,5 | +82,5 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | 640 | 67,5 | 432 | −79,8 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | 249,73 | 76,5 | 191,04 | +11,24 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | 200 | 85,5 | 171 | +100 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | 2 000 | 8,5 | 170 | −70 |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?No | 409,95 | 38,6 | 158,45 | −54,72 |
| Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes | 443,77 | 29,2 | 129,8 | +129,36 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | 140 | 91,5 | 128,1 | +44,8 |
| Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No | 130,89 | 92,5 | 121,07 | +93,65 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | 220 | 50,5 | 111,1 | +55,7 |
| Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes | 1 000 | 10,3 | 103 | +102 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?No | 100 | 91,5 | 91,5 | +17,5 |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?No | 130 | 69,2 | 89,89 | +4,1 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | 80 | 95,1 | 76,08 | +18,88 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?Yes | 1 000 | 6,5 | 65 | −25 |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?No | 208,09 | 27,5 | 57,23 | +1,12 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | 302,23 | 16,6 | 50,02 | +8,51 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | 42,33 | 83,5 | 35,34 | +5,54 |
| Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?Yes | 209 | 12,8 | 26,65 | +24,56 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 26,21 | 95,7 | 25,08 | +11,15 |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes | 1 000 | 2,4 | 24,5 | −35,5 |
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?No | 24,28 | 99 | 24,04 | +6,74 |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Yes | 51,15 | 45,5 | 23,27 | +12,57 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Yes | 200 | 10,1 | 20,2 | −1,8 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | 300 | 4,4 | 13,05 | +1,05 |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes | 18,4 | 70,5 | 12,97 | +9,11 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 10 | 86 | 8,6 | +1,2 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | 10 | 85,5 | 8,55 | +2,05 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | 50,02 | 16 | 8 | −1,04 |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes | 452,88 | 1,4 | 6,34 | −1,12 |
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