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Proches au classement: #751 herewego446 #752 Bertapotamous #753 hopedieslast #754 StakePilot #755 dfsgretfewqrfew #757 Vetchoux #758 trumpetplayer #759 Tigerofthehood #760 cynical-reason #761 MMousse
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 82 572,59 | 86,5 | 71 425,29 | +1 508,68 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 50 999,89 | 91,5 | 46 664,9 | +3 855,64 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | 38 496,31 | 99,8 | 38 438,57 | +5 364,96 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | 46 276,36 | 62,5 | 28 922,73 | −1 225,49 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | 27 533,07 | 99,7 | 27 450,47 | +4 916,83 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 28 351,09 | 92,5 | 26 224,76 | +2 314,58 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 41 414,97 | 62,5 | 25 884,36 | +5 282,19 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 24 524,22 | 99,6 | 24 438,39 | +70,41 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | 31 244,96 | 74,5 | 23 277,5 | +1 560,53 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | 22 986,48 | 92,5 | 21 262,49 | +294,13 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 24 093,45 | 83 | 19 997,57 | +807,11 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 15 000 | 96,6 | 14 497,5 | −67,47 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 18 328,3 | 77,5 | 14 204,43 | −1 155,05 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | 18 999,99 | 73 | 13 869,99 | +713,73 |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 13 443,77 | 90,5 | 12 166,61 | +317,52 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 16 741,21 | 65,5 | 10 965,49 | −1 609,15 |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No | 11 442,34 | 87 | 9 954,83 | −268,87 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | 10 209,32 | 88,5 | 9 035,25 | +429,21 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | 11 704,94 | 76,5 | 8 954,28 | +1 125,64 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 10 149,78 | 87,4 | 8 875,98 | +116,07 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | 9 999,99 | 88,6 | 8 864,99 | −24,99 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | 8 067,72 | 90,5 | 7 301,28 | +136,49 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 8 329,3 | 87,5 | 7 288,14 | +8,24 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | 7 845,84 | 84 | 6 590,51 | +2 023,08 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 7 177,17 | 86 | 6 172,36 | −165,14 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | 14 538,68 | 41,5 | 6 033,55 | −127,27 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 10 000 | 60,2 | 6 015 | +275 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | 41 139,92 | 14,5 | 5 965,29 | −5 920,65 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 5 999,97 | 81,8 | 4 910,97 | +291 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | 11 225,09 | 41,5 | 4 658,41 | −70,36 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.