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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?No | 1,291.42 | 76.9 | 993.1 | −206.87 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | 1,070.45 | 59.4 | 635.85 | −364.14 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No | 666.08 | 92 | 612.79 | −8.67 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?No | 808.28 | 74 | 598.13 | −147.52 |
| Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No | 660 | 81.2 | 535.59 | −32.67 |
| Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?Yes | 616.4 | 81.8 | 503.91 | −57.12 |
| Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Yes | 597.8 | 81.5 | 487.21 | −40.24 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | 562.45 | 84.6 | 475.55 | −23.32 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | 657.17 | 71.5 | 469.88 | −36.14 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | 660.01 | 57 | 375.87 | −17.49 |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | 475.5 | 78.9 | 375.17 | −12.84 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes | 839.83 | 43.4 | 364.49 | −405.4 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic | 394.85 | 89 | 351.42 | −4.4 |
| Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?No | 479.77 | 66.2 | 317.85 | −78.86 |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 339.01 | 87.5 | 296.63 | −0.27 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | 403.76 | 66 | 266.48 | −66.67 |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 260.52 | 91.2 | 237.46 | −9.58 |
| Will Umaru Dikko Radda win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Yes | 248.54 | 79.5 | 197.59 | −9.91 |
| Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?No | 211.86 | 90.8 | 192.47 | −7.52 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?No | 258.42 | 73 | 188.64 | −38.08 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?No | 215.05 | 87 | 187.09 | −12.9 |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes | 220 | 82.5 | 181.5 | −14.3 |
| Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?Yes | 293.79 | 60.5 | 177.74 | −55.37 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes | 429.34 | 38.5 | 165.3 | −197.52 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?No | 190 | 81.5 | 154.85 | −19.55 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?No | 164.06 | 92.7 | 152.08 | −4.43 |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No | 161.9 | 92.5 | 149.76 | −0.81 |
| Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?Yes | 184.37 | 77 | 141.96 | −23.97 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 197.66 | 70 | 138.36 | −7.91 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | 294.65 | 46.5 | 137.01 | −1.47 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.