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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?No | 1.291,42 | 75,3 | 972,44 | −227,54 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | 1.070,45 | 73 | 781,43 | −218,56 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?No | 808,28 | 76 | 614,29 | −131,35 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No | 666,08 | 92,1 | 613,46 | −8 |
| Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No | 660 | 81,2 | 535,59 | −32,67 |
| Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?Yes | 616,4 | 81,8 | 503,91 | −57,12 |
| Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Yes | 597,8 | 83,5 | 499,16 | −28,28 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | 562,45 | 84,2 | 473,59 | −25,29 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | 657,17 | 71,5 | 469,88 | −36,14 |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | 475,5 | 79 | 375,4 | −12,6 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | 660,01 | 56,8 | 375,21 | −18,15 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes | 839,83 | 43,5 | 365,33 | −404,56 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic | 394,85 | 89,5 | 353,39 | −2,43 |
| Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?No | 479,77 | 66 | 316,89 | −79,82 |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 339,01 | 87,5 | 296,63 | −0,27 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | 403,76 | 65,5 | 264,47 | −68,69 |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 260,52 | 91,2 | 237,59 | −9,45 |
| Will Umaru Dikko Radda win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Yes | 248,54 | 79,5 | 197,59 | −9,91 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?No | 215,05 | 90,5 | 194,62 | −5,38 |
| Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?No | 211,86 | 90,8 | 192,37 | −7,63 |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes | 220 | 82,5 | 181,5 | −14,3 |
| Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?Yes | 293,79 | 61,5 | 180,68 | −52,43 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?No | 258,42 | 69 | 178,31 | −48,41 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes | 429,34 | 38,5 | 165,3 | −197,52 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?No | 190 | 81,5 | 154,85 | −19,55 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?No | 164,06 | 92,7 | 152,08 | −4,43 |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No | 161,9 | 92,5 | 149,76 | −0,81 |
| Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?Yes | 184,37 | 77 | 141,96 | −23,97 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | 294,65 | 46,5 | 137,01 | −1,47 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 197,66 | 68,5 | 135,39 | −10,87 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.