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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | 82.241,41 | 99,8 | 82.035,81 | +7.308,38 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 69.999,97 | 91,5 | 64.049,97 | +4.390,75 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | 39.999,97 | 100 | 39.979,97 | +1.220 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 25.000 | 96,6 | 24.162,5 | +4.162,5 |
| Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?No | 606,24 | 99,8 | 605,03 | +10,31 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No | 493,23 | 87,5 | 431,57 | +21,42 |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?No | 423,29 | 97,4 | 412,5 | +114,4 |
| Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?No | 370 | 99,7 | 368,89 | +5,92 |
| Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?No | 355,91 | 99,8 | 355,38 | +2,67 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes | 453,42 | 71 | 321,93 | +45,94 |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?No | 433,13 | 11 | 47,64 | +8,04 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Yes | 206,13 | 13,5 | 27,83 | −9,03 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Yes | 487,76 | 4,4 | 21,71 | −6,32 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes | 272,7 | 2,7 | 7,36 | −23,37 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Yes | 233,67 | 0,6 | 1,52 | −25,82 |
| Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | 426 | 0,2 | 1,06 | −24,25 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?Yes | 78,02 | 1,1 | 0,86 | −5,38 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | 0,12 | 100 | 0,12 | +0,01 |
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