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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | 54,339.99 | 7.5 | 4,075.5 | +387.17 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | 30,198.05 | 12.5 | 3,774.76 | +452.97 |
| Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 496,000 | 0.6 | 3,224 | +2,232.42 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | 43,710 | 5.5 | 2,404.05 | +93.58 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 27,890 | 3.4 | 934.32 | −753.03 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | 7,511.39 | 10.5 | 788.7 | −63.58 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 17,871.19 | 1.4 | 259.13 | +73.49 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 7,573.6 | 2.7 | 204.49 | −28.93 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 805.35 | 21 | 169.12 | −32.21 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 4,999.85 | 3.2 | 157.5 | −18.19 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 7,000 | 1.7 | 119 | +42 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | 2,499.99 | 3.9 | 97.5 | −27.5 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | 1,309.95 | 4.5 | 58.95 | −8.49 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Yes | 707.89 | 4 | 27.96 | +13.8 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | 53,000.28 | 0 | 26.5 | −933.55 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Yes | 353.7 | 6.8 | 24.23 | +3.97 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | 293.6 | 8 | 23.49 | 0 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | 800 | 2.6 | 20.4 | +12.4 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Yes | 200 | 5.6 | 11.1 | −2.3 |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | 538.38 | 1.4 | 7.54 | −35.53 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 4,599.96 | 0.2 | 6.9 | +2.33 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | 200 | 3.2 | 6.3 | +2.1 |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | 350 | 1.2 | 4.38 | −44.62 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | 8,595.55 | 0 | 4.3 | −228.88 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Yes | 7,139.36 | 0 | 3.57 | −66.42 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 1,500 | 0.2 | 2.25 | −0.75 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 420 | 0.5 | 2.1 | −11.12 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?Yes | 2,000 | 0.1 | 2 | −16 |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | 100 | 0.8 | 0.8 | −10.2 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | 4.7 | 17 | 0.8 | +0.01 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.