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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | 54.339,99 | 7,5 | 4.075,5 | +387,17 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | 30.198,05 | 12,5 | 3.774,76 | +452,97 |
| Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 496.000 | 0,6 | 2.976 | +1.984,42 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | 43.710 | 5,5 | 2.404,05 | +93,58 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | 7.511,39 | 11,5 | 863,81 | +11,54 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 27.890 | 3 | 836,7 | −850,64 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 17.871,19 | 1,4 | 259,13 | +73,49 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 7.573,6 | 2,7 | 204,49 | −28,93 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 805,35 | 20,5 | 165,1 | −36,24 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 4.999,85 | 3,2 | 157,5 | −18,19 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 7.000 | 1,6 | 115,5 | +38,5 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | 2.499,99 | 3,9 | 97,5 | −27,5 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | 1.309,95 | 4,2 | 55,67 | −11,77 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Yes | 707,89 | 3,9 | 27,61 | +13,45 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | 53.000,28 | 0 | 26,5 | −933,55 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Yes | 353,7 | 6,7 | 23,7 | +3,44 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | 293,6 | 7 | 20,55 | −2,94 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | 800 | 2,5 | 20 | +12 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Yes | 200 | 5,6 | 11,1 | −2,3 |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | 538,38 | 1,3 | 7 | −36,07 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 4.599,96 | 0,2 | 6,9 | +2,33 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | 200 | 3 | 5,9 | +1,7 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | 8.595,55 | 0 | 4,3 | −228,88 |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | 350 | 1 | 3,67 | −45,33 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 420 | 0,5 | 2,1 | −11,12 |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | 100 | 0,9 | 0,9 | −10,1 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | 4,7 | 16,5 | 0,78 | −0,01 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 1.500 | 0 | 0,75 | −2,25 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | 135 | 0,2 | 0,2 | −6,5 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 10-16?Yes | 1.999,98 | 0 | 0 | −11,99 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.