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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 530,000 | 50.4 | 267,385 | +2,385 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | 530,000 | 49.6 | 262,615 | −2,385 |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No | 26,991.89 | 94.5 | 25,507.33 | +3,334.56 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | 22,109 | 95.6 | 21,147.26 | +268.96 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 10,776.73 | 93.5 | 10,076.24 | +269.42 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 15,095.92 | 65.5 | 9,887.83 | +3,148.11 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | 8,341.14 | 100 | 8,336.97 | +101.45 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | 7,776.98 | 95.5 | 7,427.02 | +616.62 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | 6,716 | 97.4 | 6,544.75 | +79.67 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 13,111 | 32.5 | 4,261.07 | +73.83 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | 4,120.32 | 96.8 | 3,990.53 | +149.86 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 5,554.96 | 67.5 | 3,749.6 | −194.42 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | 3,362.4 | 96.2 | 3,236.31 | +15.99 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 42,343.47 | 7.5 | 3,175.76 | −2,464.77 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 4,374.1 | 67.5 | 2,952.52 | −1.77 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | 6,665.95 | 34.5 | 2,299.75 | −122.18 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | 12,423.02 | 17.5 | 2,174.03 | +1,055.97 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | 26,040.95 | 7.5 | 1,953.07 | −256.97 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 432,227.05 | 0.4 | 1,945.02 | −1,250.87 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | 39,511.94 | 4.6 | 1,797.79 | −563.36 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | 1,669.88 | 95.5 | 1,594.73 | +58.45 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | 1,541.4 | 98.2 | 1,512.88 | +60.82 |
| Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 1,424 | 95.6 | 1,360.63 | +85.94 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo | 1,111 | 98.9 | 1,098.78 | +2.22 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 25,974 | 4.2 | 1,090.91 | −588.36 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | 1,550.71 | 68.5 | 1,062.24 | +54.27 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | 1,131.11 | 89.5 | 1,012.34 | +153.3 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 11,292.89 | 8.5 | 959.9 | −409.59 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | 2,220.25 | 40.6 | 902.53 | −323.05 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 1,111 | 78.5 | 872.13 | +227.75 |
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