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Proches au classement: #128 k9Q2mX4L8A7ZP3R #129 filthybetz #130 Cannae #131 yamal19 #132 justaluckydude #134 WindWalk3 #135 setsukoworldchampion2027 #136 gardenshed #137 4-seas #138 wco26
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 530 000 | 50,4 | 267 385 | +2 385 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | 530 000 | 49,6 | 262 615 | −2 385 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 33 333 | 99,6 | 33 183 | +16,7 |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No | 26 991,89 | 94,5 | 25 507,33 | +3 334,56 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | 22 109 | 95,6 | 21 125,15 | +246,85 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 10 776,73 | 93,5 | 10 076,24 | +269,42 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | 8 341,14 | 100 | 8 336,97 | +101,45 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | 7 776,98 | 95,5 | 7 427,02 | +616,62 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | 6 716 | 97,4 | 6 544,75 | +79,67 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 8 429,97 | 65,5 | 5 521,63 | +1 757,99 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | 4 120,32 | 96,8 | 3 990,53 | +149,86 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 5 554,96 | 67,5 | 3 749,6 | −194,42 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | 3 362,4 | 96 | 3 229,59 | +9,27 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 42 343,47 | 7,5 | 3 175,76 | −2 464,77 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 8 736,9 | 33,5 | 2 926,86 | +136,57 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | 12 423,02 | 17,5 | 2 174,03 | +1 055,97 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | 26 040,95 | 7,5 | 1 953,07 | −256,97 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 432 227,05 | 0,4 | 1 945,02 | −1 250,87 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | 39 511,94 | 4,6 | 1 797,79 | −563,36 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | 1 669,88 | 95,5 | 1 594,73 | +58,45 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | 1 541,4 | 98,4 | 1 517,51 | +65,44 |
| Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 1 424 | 95,6 | 1 360,63 | +85,94 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo | 1 111 | 98,9 | 1 098,78 | +2,22 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 25 974 | 4,2 | 1 077,92 | −601,34 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | 1 550,71 | 68,5 | 1 062,24 | +54,27 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | 1 131,11 | 89,5 | 1 012,34 | +153,3 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 11 292,89 | 8,5 | 959,9 | −409,59 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | 2 220,25 | 40 | 886,99 | −338,59 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 1 111 | 78,5 | 872,13 | +227,75 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 967,47 | 87,5 | 846,54 | +164,47 |
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