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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 26 534,3 | 62,4 | 16 557,4 | +15 709,81 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 26 534,3 | 37,5 | 9 950,36 | +9 102,77 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 9 699,99 | 65,5 | 6 353,49 | +1 839,61 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?No | 4 002,65 | 99,8 | 3 992,64 | +115,04 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 3 019 | 99,6 | 3 006,93 | +50,98 |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by September 30?No | 1 184,5 | 99,7 | 1 180,95 | +0,7 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | 1 068,17 | 95,8 | 1 023,84 | +13,8 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No | 549,34 | 99,9 | 548,79 | +27,84 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 1 000 | 44,6 | 445,5 | +433,42 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 1 000 | 42,4 | 424,5 | +412,42 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | 500,69 | 81,5 | 408,06 | +2,15 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 209,57 | 99,6 | 208,84 | +0,31 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?Yes | 200 | 72,6 | 145,1 | +14,7 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | 112,73 | 99,8 | 112,56 | +0,73 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 1 000 | 4 | 39,5 | +27,42 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Yes | 49,95 | 63,2 | 31,57 | −8,77 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 1 000 | 1,8 | 18,5 | +6,42 |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 26 534,3 | 0 | 13,27 | −834,32 |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 26 534,3 | 0 | 13,27 | −834,32 |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 26 534,3 | 0 | 13,27 | −834,32 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 26 534,3 | 0 | 13,27 | −834,32 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 26 534,3 | 0 | 13,27 | −834,32 |
| Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 26 534,3 | 0 | 13,27 | −834,32 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 26 534,3 | 0 | 13,27 | −834,32 |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 26 534,3 | 0 | 13,27 | −834,32 |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 26 534,3 | 0 | 13,27 | −834,32 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 26 534,3 | 0 | 13,27 | −834,32 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 26 534,3 | 0 | 13,27 | −834,32 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 13 000 | 0 | 6,5 | −410,32 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 13 000 | 0 | 6,5 | −410,32 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.