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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 7 999,69 | 83,5 | 6 679,74 | +541,39 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 10 000,1 | 62,5 | 6 250,06 | −50 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | 6 999,88 | 88,5 | 6 194,89 | +267,67 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 5 999,75 | 95,4 | 5 723,76 | +816,2 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 5 000 | 93,5 | 4 675 | +225 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | 2 999,92 | 79,5 | 2 384,94 | +715,65 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Yes | 2 235,68 | 99 | 2 214,44 | +126,25 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No | 2 052,73 | 92 | 1 888,51 | +119,18 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | 2 000 | 88,5 | 1 770 | +130 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?Yes | 1 305,17 | 98,6 | 1 287,55 | +54,43 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 2 000,01 | 62,5 | 1 250 | +145 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 1 999,99 | 47,2 | 944 | −150,05 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?Yes | 933,3 | 98,8 | 922,1 | +64,07 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?Yes | 818,14 | 99,2 | 811,19 | +46,23 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 1 000 | 79,5 | 795 | +35 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Acre?Yes | 763,95 | 99 | 756,69 | +42,53 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?Yes | 721,83 | 98,8 | 713,17 | +33,98 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?Yes | 660,24 | 98,9 | 652,98 | +31,77 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 2 000 | 32,5 | 650 | +70 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?Yes | 547,86 | 97,9 | 536,35 | +19,75 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No | 500,49 | 96,4 | 482,48 | +60,09 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 860,9 | 43,5 | 374,49 | +122,53 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Yes | 300,28 | 99 | 297,28 | +14,21 |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?No | 260,21 | 83,5 | 217,27 | +41,18 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes | 2 441,16 | 4,4 | 108,63 | −292,8 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 165,61 | 63,5 | 105,16 | +0,83 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Yes | 3 276,95 | 3 | 96,67 | −505,03 |
| EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Yes | 332 | 17 | 56,44 | −2 |
| Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?Lula | 122,47 | 12 | 14,7 | −6,11 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No | 15,01 | 91,5 | 13,73 | +2,33 |
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