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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 215.883,87 | 62,8 | 135.683,01 | +24.702,39 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 92.788,82 | 83,5 | 77.478,66 | +3.067,88 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 97.629,77 | 63,5 | 61.994,9 | +6.870,39 |
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 37.093,3 | 94,5 | 35.053,17 | +1.546,63 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | 26.540,77 | 88,5 | 23.488,58 | +287,59 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 24.505,06 | 79,5 | 19.481,52 | −1.289,46 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 20.745,17 | 89,5 | 18.566,93 | +670,88 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 11.760,18 | 93,5 | 10.995,77 | +814,79 |
| Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes | 13.197,38 | 68,5 | 9.040,21 | +1.372,03 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 12.687,26 | 71 | 9.007,96 | −1.114,65 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes | 5.283,17 | 95,8 | 5.058,63 | +261,41 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | 7.605,97 | 57,5 | 4.373,44 | −17,55 |
| Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?Bolsonaro | 4.878 | 89 | 4.341,42 | +281,23 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No | 4.574,05 | 81,5 | 3.727,85 | +98,86 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes | 3.879,66 | 94,8 | 3.677,92 | +139,83 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 12.135,47 | 29,3 | 3.555,69 | +555,71 |
| Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes | 3.932,14 | 82,6 | 3.245,98 | +45,45 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | 3.121,9 | 89,5 | 2.794,1 | +184,86 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | 3.076,83 | 88,5 | 2.722,99 | +551,56 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?No | 2.950,63 | 85,5 | 2.522,79 | −82,52 |
| Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Yes | 3.635,71 | 63,5 | 2.308,68 | +227,82 |
| Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 3?Bolsonaro | 1.871,38 | 99,4 | 1.860,15 | +279,43 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Yes | 1.871,51 | 96,6 | 1.807,88 | +187,63 |
| Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?No | 2.038,94 | 88,5 | 1.804,46 | +161,97 |
| Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 1.848,27 | 96,4 | 1.781,74 | +124,64 |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Yes | 3.548,4 | 36,5 | 1.295,16 | −605,3 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential elNo | 1.422,82 | 90,5 | 1.287,65 | +60,66 |
| Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?No | 1.251,87 | 93,5 | 1.170,5 | +69,65 |
| Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 1.335,93 | 84,5 | 1.128,86 | +64,24 |
| Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 1.117,18 | 89,5 | 999,88 | +7,88 |
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