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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 20,781.77 | 60 | 12,479.45 | +3,964.21 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 18,372.01 | 62.4 | 11,464.14 | +5,775.81 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 14,898.76 | 47.5 | 7,076.91 | −848.07 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | 10,959.77 | 27.5 | 3,013.94 | −917.73 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 7,877.16 | 37.5 | 2,953.93 | −217.53 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 3,444.99 | 67.5 | 2,325.37 | −189.47 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 3,066.28 | 72.7 | 2,229.18 | +1,999.21 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | 2,848.57 | 68.5 | 1,951.27 | +87.15 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | 4,881.92 | 34.5 | 1,684.26 | −458.63 |
| Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No | 1,925.56 | 85 | 1,636.73 | +250.32 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | 4,661.7 | 31.5 | 1,468.44 | −1,685.86 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 4,004.32 | 33.2 | 1,327.43 | −754.81 |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | 4,898.77 | 19.5 | 955.26 | −169.68 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | 7,493.58 | 9.5 | 711.89 | −487.03 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | 662.95 | 91.5 | 606.6 | +322.44 |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | 599.58 | 66 | 395.72 | +50.33 |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | 2,944.81 | 10.5 | 309.2 | −18.51 |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes | 518.34 | 50.5 | 261.76 | −0.54 |
| Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes | 292.56 | 85.5 | 250.14 | +42.42 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 1,687.84 | 13 | 219.42 | +59.87 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | 242.77 | 27.5 | 66.76 | −18.21 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | 6,500 | 0.4 | 26 | −1,985.34 |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 11.4 | 11.35 | +9.93 |
| Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 8 | 8 | +6.58 |
| Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 5.6 | 5.65 | +4.23 |
| Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 5.4 | 5.35 | +3.93 |
| Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 3 | 3.05 | +1.63 |
| Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 2.5 | 2.5 | +1.08 |
| Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 2 | 1.95 | +0.53 |
| Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 1.6 | 1.55 | +0.13 |
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