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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 20 781,77 | 60 | 12 479,45 | +3 964,21 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 18 372,01 | 62,4 | 11 464,14 | +5 775,81 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 14 898,76 | 47,5 | 7 076,91 | −848,07 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | 10 959,77 | 27,5 | 3 013,94 | −917,73 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 7 877,16 | 37,5 | 2 953,93 | −217,53 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 3 444,99 | 67,5 | 2 325,37 | −189,47 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 3 066,28 | 72,7 | 2 229,18 | +1 999,21 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | 2 848,57 | 68,5 | 1 951,27 | +87,15 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | 4 881,92 | 34,5 | 1 684,26 | −458,63 |
| Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No | 1 925,56 | 85 | 1 636,73 | +250,32 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | 4 661,7 | 31,5 | 1 468,44 | −1 685,86 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 4 004,32 | 33,2 | 1 327,43 | −754,81 |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | 4 898,77 | 19,5 | 955,26 | −169,68 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | 7 493,58 | 9,5 | 711,89 | −487,03 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | 662,95 | 91,5 | 606,6 | +322,44 |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | 599,58 | 66 | 395,72 | +50,33 |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | 2 944,81 | 10,5 | 309,2 | −18,51 |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes | 518,34 | 50,5 | 261,76 | −0,54 |
| Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes | 292,56 | 85,5 | 250,14 | +42,42 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 1 687,84 | 13 | 219,42 | +59,87 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | 242,77 | 27,5 | 66,76 | −18,21 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | 6 500 | 0,4 | 26 | −1 985,34 |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 11,4 | 11,35 | +9,93 |
| Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 8 | 8 | +6,58 |
| Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 5,6 | 5,65 | +4,23 |
| Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 5,4 | 5,35 | +3,93 |
| Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 3 | 3,05 | +1,63 |
| Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 2,5 | 2,5 | +1,08 |
| Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 2 | 1,95 | +0,53 |
| Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 100 | 1,6 | 1,55 | +0,13 |
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