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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?No | 700 | 88.8 | 621.95 | −56.35 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 690 | 55.5 | 382.95 | −31.05 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?No | 615.88 | 61.5 | 378.77 | −27.71 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?No | 400 | 89 | 356 | −20 |
| Will Raquel Carter win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?No | 436 | 77.2 | 336.37 | −56.9 |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Hike 25 bps | 700 | 34.5 | 241.5 | −262.5 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Yes | 700.15 | 26 | 182.04 | −126.01 |
| Will Barcelona finish top 8 in UCL league phase?Yes | 250 | 71.5 | 178.75 | −28.75 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | 203 | 84.3 | 171.13 | −8.93 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?No | 478.05 | 35.5 | 169.71 | −26.29 |
| Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?No | 317 | 52.5 | 166.43 | −39.62 |
| Will Australia win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?No | 700 | 20 | 140 | −77 |
| Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?Yes | 175 | 80 | 140 | −10.5 |
| Will Lainey Wilson win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?No | 164 | 85 | 139.48 | −8.12 |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?O 7.5 | 250 | 55.5 | 138.75 | −11.25 |
| Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No | 198.59 | 66.5 | 132.06 | −6.95 |
| Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?No | 226 | 57 | 128.82 | −11.3 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Yes | 155.01 | 82.5 | 127.88 | −3.87 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?No | 261 | 47.2 | 123.19 | −74.91 |
| Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | 678.39 | 15.5 | 105.15 | −64.45 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?No | 114.44 | 88 | 100.77 | −4.41 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?No | 118.07 | 81.5 | 96.23 | −2.95 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?No | 209 | 44.5 | 93 | −15.68 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?No | 105 | 81.5 | 85.58 | −5.77 |
| Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027?No | 108.42 | 73.5 | 79.69 | −7.05 |
| Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?No | 150 | 49.5 | 74.25 | −8.25 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes | 89.48 | 72.5 | 64.87 | −11.19 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 0%-3%?No | 83 | 76.5 | 63.49 | −2.07 |
| Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | 77.04 | 81.5 | 62.79 | −4.24 |
| Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Yes | 131 | 46 | 60.26 | −11.79 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.