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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?No | 700 | 88,8 | 621,95 | −56,35 |
| Will Raquel Carter win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?No | 436 | 76,8 | 334,85 | −58,42 |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Hike 25 bps | 700 | 34,5 | 241,5 | −262,5 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Yes | 700,15 | 26 | 182,04 | −126,01 |
| Will Barcelona finish top 8 in UCL league phase?Yes | 250 | 71,5 | 178,75 | −28,75 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | 203 | 83,4 | 169,4 | −10,66 |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?O 7.5 | 250 | 57 | 142,5 | −7,5 |
| Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?Yes | 175 | 80,5 | 140,88 | −9,62 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?No | 234,33 | 54,5 | 127,71 | −26,95 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?No | 261 | 46 | 120,06 | −78,04 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?No | 114,44 | 87,4 | 100,08 | −5,09 |
| Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026?No | 130 | 76 | 98,8 | −22,1 |
| Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?No | 195,35 | 49 | 95,72 | −31,26 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?No | 118,07 | 80,5 | 95,05 | −4,13 |
| Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?No | 226 | 41,5 | 93,79 | −46,33 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?No | 209 | 44,5 | 93 | −15,68 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?No | 105 | 81,5 | 85,58 | −5,77 |
| Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?No | 150 | 48 | 72 | −10,5 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes | 89,48 | 77,5 | 69,35 | −6,71 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes | 160,8 | 39,5 | 63,51 | −12,06 |
| Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | 77,04 | 81,5 | 62,79 | −4,24 |
| Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Yes | 131 | 46 | 60,26 | −11,79 |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | 146,42 | 36,8 | 53,96 | −9,74 |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Yes | 70 | 71,5 | 50,05 | −12,95 |
| Will the Houston Texans have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Yes | 105 | 44 | 46,2 | −2,1 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?No | 84,8 | 53 | 44,94 | −1,7 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes | 209,54 | 21 | 44,11 | −38,24 |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?No | 52 | 82,5 | 42,9 | −1,3 |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?No | 50 | 78,5 | 39,25 | −3,25 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Yes | 88 | 44,5 | 39,16 | −6,6 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.