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Proches au classement: #589 slight- #590 MrDouche #591 poptree #592 0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704 #593 0x80d5aebbE7a714879177E4dAE0014195beb3987E-1789159822906 #594 timetowander #596 tsybka #597 printa #598 harrycrisch #599 Vetch
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 93 700,57 | 79,5 | 74 491,96 | +1 249,22 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | 23 600,94 | 93,5 | 22 066,88 | +1 158,24 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No | 20 000 | 99,9 | 19 980 | +1 040,02 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 28 901,93 | 62,4 | 18 034,81 | +6 855,79 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 38 674,53 | 37,5 | 14 502,95 | −5 860,21 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 14 561,8 | 86,5 | 12 595,96 | +72,82 |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No | 11 421,88 | 90,5 | 10 336,81 | +292,3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 7 445,14 | 99,8 | 7 426,53 | +268,87 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?No | 7 685,99 | 95 | 7 301,69 | +153,72 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | 7 669,38 | 94,5 | 7 247,56 | +42,06 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | 6 320,16 | 99,7 | 6 301,2 | +360,25 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 4 614,09 | 96,7 | 4 461,82 | +493,71 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 5 523,39 | 65,5 | 3 617,82 | +782,17 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?No | 3 214,41 | 94,5 | 3 037,62 | +227,37 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | 3 036,03 | 88,5 | 2 686,89 | +74,05 |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No | 2 500,01 | 94,5 | 2 362,51 | +487,5 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | 2 149,47 | 87 | 1 870,04 | +76,11 |
| Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | 1 434,25 | 94,5 | 1 355,36 | +294,02 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | 999,99 | 91,5 | 914,99 | +35 |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes | 2 585,1 | 31,5 | 814,31 | −323,14 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 3 924,36 | 18,2 | 712,27 | +20,57 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?No | 647,31 | 99,8 | 645,69 | +22,98 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?No | 700 | 88 | 616 | +56 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | 608,89 | 93 | 566,27 | +66,98 |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No | 531,91 | 95,8 | 509,31 | +27,39 |
| Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?No | 505,33 | 95,5 | 482,59 | +130,35 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 2 140,24 | 22,5 | 481,55 | +121,88 |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No | 500 | 94,5 | 472,5 | +52,5 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | 9 375 | 4,9 | 459,38 | −262,5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes | 484,81 | 74 | 358,76 | −14,54 |
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