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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3,716.11 | 81 | 3,010.05 | −33.88 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo | 2,350.36 | 98.9 | 2,324.51 | −1.64 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | 1,974.99 | 97 | 1,915.74 | +190.12 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 2,467.28 | 70 | 1,727.1 | −87.93 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 2,055.72 | 62.5 | 1,284.83 | +163.13 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No | 1,054.98 | 97 | 1,022.8 | +4 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 932.81 | 77.5 | 722.93 | +90 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | 3,396.1 | 18.5 | 628.28 | +84.79 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | 2,194.57 | 28.5 | 625.45 | −65.83 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 1,998.56 | 29.3 | 585.58 | +100.1 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes | 849.09 | 60.5 | 513.7 | −21.52 |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | 484.97 | 95.5 | 463.15 | +2.43 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?No | 1,054.97 | 40.4 | 425.68 | +23.43 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 284.99 | 96.9 | 276.16 | +96.63 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?No | 310.89 | 78.3 | 243.43 | −16.41 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 372.49 | 62.5 | 232.81 | −12.05 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | 400 | 49 | 196 | −15.78 |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | 400 | 42.9 | 171.6 | −32.25 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 932.81 | 18 | 167.44 | −123.8 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 467.89 | 29 | 135.69 | +16.6 |
| Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?No | 116.06 | 97.7 | 113.39 | −1.09 |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?No | 116.06 | 96.5 | 112 | −1.5 |
| Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?No | 116.06 | 95 | 110.31 | −0.41 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | 100 | 93.9 | 93.9 | +1.35 |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?No | 116.06 | 79.5 | 92.27 | −0.58 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | 233.63 | 37.5 | 87.61 | +1.17 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 841.61 | 7.5 | 63.12 | −23.21 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | 58.14 | 92.5 | 53.78 | +10.6 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?No | 54.24 | 92.5 | 50.17 | +1.9 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Yes | 410.63 | 8 | 32.65 | +2.73 |
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