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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3 746,11 | 79 | 2 959,42 | −108,5 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo | 2 350,36 | 99,1 | 2 329,21 | +3,06 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | 1 974,99 | 97 | 1 915,74 | +190,12 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 2 467,28 | 68,5 | 1 690,09 | −124,94 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 2 055,72 | 62,5 | 1 284,83 | +163,13 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No | 1 084,98 | 97 | 1 051,89 | +3,75 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 932,81 | 77,5 | 722,93 | +90 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | 3 396,1 | 19 | 645,26 | +101,77 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | 2 194,57 | 28,5 | 625,45 | −65,83 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 1 998,56 | 29,2 | 584,58 | +99,1 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes | 849,09 | 60,5 | 513,7 | −21,52 |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | 484,97 | 95,5 | 463,15 | +2,43 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?No | 1 084,97 | 40,8 | 443,21 | +29,02 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 284,99 | 96,8 | 276,01 | +96,49 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?No | 340,89 | 80,4 | 273,91 | −9,85 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 372,49 | 62,5 | 232,81 | −12,05 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | 400 | 51 | 204 | −7,78 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 932,81 | 18,2 | 169,77 | −121,47 |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | 400 | 40,5 | 162 | −41,85 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 467,89 | 29,5 | 138,03 | +18,94 |
| Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?No | 116,06 | 97,4 | 113,1 | −1,38 |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?No | 116,06 | 96,8 | 112,4 | −1,1 |
| Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?No | 116,06 | 95,2 | 110,55 | −0,17 |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?No | 116,06 | 81 | 94,01 | +1,16 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | 100 | 93,6 | 93,6 | +1,05 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | 233,63 | 37,5 | 87,61 | +1,17 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 841,61 | 7,5 | 63,12 | −23,21 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | 58,14 | 92,5 | 53,78 | +10,6 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?No | 54,24 | 92,5 | 50,17 | +1,9 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?No | 431,55 | 7,5 | 32,37 | −53,6 |
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