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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | 15,263.09 | 73 | 11,142.06 | +479.35 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes | 10,000.01 | 87.5 | 8,750.01 | +171.16 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?No | 7,798.24 | 87.5 | 6,823.46 | +110.38 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | 6,000 | 99.8 | 5,985 | +26.02 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?No | 3,927.26 | 99.8 | 3,921.37 | +190.48 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | 12,660.46 | 29.5 | 3,734.84 | −2,918.54 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | 3,000 | 99.2 | 2,974.5 | +101.27 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | 5,000 | 58.8 | 2,942.5 | −1,035.53 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3,750.01 | 70.5 | 2,643.75 | +546.95 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 4,000.01 | 62.5 | 2,500.01 | +805.6 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 72,902.31 | 3.4 | 2,442.23 | −2,043.23 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | 2,500 | 95 | 2,373.75 | +26.25 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | 2,500 | 90.5 | 2,262.5 | +227.51 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 2,729.1 | 77.5 | 2,115.05 | −257.28 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 3,000 | 66.5 | 1,995 | −105 |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31?Yes | 20,000.01 | 9.5 | 1,900 | −720.14 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | 2,000 | 93.6 | 1,872 | +72 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | 6,999.99 | 24.5 | 1,715 | −524.97 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | 3,456.99 | 47.5 | 1,642.07 | −359.22 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | 2,000 | 77.5 | 1,550 | +15 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | 8,521.08 | 17.5 | 1,491.19 | −511.78 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 8,808.65 | 15.5 | 1,365.34 | +430.81 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 10,042.76 | 13.5 | 1,355.77 | −1,219.03 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 2,000 | 59.4 | 1,187 | +31 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | 3,699.81 | 30 | 1,109.94 | −1,049.75 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 1,136.86 | 85.5 | 972.02 | −16.17 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | 1,000 | 85.5 | 855 | +85 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | 5,000 | 17 | 850 | 0 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Yes | 4,999.99 | 17 | 850 | +150 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | 1,343.03 | 62.5 | 839.4 | +186.39 |
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