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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | 15 263,09 | 73 | 11 142,06 | +479,35 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes | 10 000,01 | 87,5 | 8 750,01 | +171,16 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?No | 7 798,24 | 87,5 | 6 823,46 | +110,38 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | 6 000 | 99,8 | 5 991 | +32,02 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?No | 3 927,26 | 99,8 | 3 921,37 | +190,48 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | 12 660,46 | 28,5 | 3 608,23 | −3 045,14 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | 3 000 | 99,2 | 2 974,5 | +101,27 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | 5 000 | 59,1 | 2 955 | −1 023,03 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3 750,01 | 70 | 2 625 | +528,2 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 4 000,01 | 62,5 | 2 500,01 | +805,6 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 72 902,31 | 3,3 | 2 405,78 | −2 079,68 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | 2 500 | 95 | 2 375 | +27,5 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | 2 500 | 90,5 | 2 262,5 | +227,51 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 2 729,1 | 77,5 | 2 115,05 | −257,28 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 3 000 | 67,5 | 2 025 | −75 |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31?Yes | 20 000,01 | 9,5 | 1 900 | −720,14 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | 2 000 | 93,4 | 1 869 | +69 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | 6 999,99 | 24,5 | 1 715 | −524,97 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | 3 456,99 | 47,5 | 1 642,07 | −359,22 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | 2 000 | 77,5 | 1 550 | +15 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | 8 521,08 | 17,5 | 1 491,19 | −511,78 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 10 042,76 | 14,5 | 1 456,2 | −1 118,6 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 8 808,65 | 15,5 | 1 365,34 | +430,81 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 2 000 | 60,2 | 1 203 | +47 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | 3 699,81 | 27,5 | 1 017,45 | −1 142,24 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 1 136,86 | 85,5 | 972,02 | −16,17 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | 1 000 | 85,5 | 855 | +85 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | 5 000 | 17 | 850 | 0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | 1 343,03 | 62,5 | 839,4 | +186,39 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Yes | 4 999,99 | 15,5 | 775 | +75 |
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