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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 11,937.71 | 86 | 10,266.43 | +4,723.13 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?No | 22,464.89 | 36.8 | 8,255.85 | +2,699.97 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | 9,585.01 | 73.5 | 7,044.98 | +5,894.79 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | 24,606.73 | 25 | 6,151.68 | +1,034.27 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 8,266.53 | 70.5 | 5,827.9 | +74.66 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 4,051.29 | 96.2 | 3,895.32 | +2,496.66 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes | 8,806.18 | 42.5 | 3,742.63 | −270.87 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 19,466.49 | 19 | 3,698.63 | +289.78 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 5,289.09 | 55.5 | 2,935.44 | −26.45 |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?No | 3,279.85 | 87.4 | 2,864.95 | +825.59 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | 6,672.06 | 42.5 | 2,835.63 | +289.24 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 7,468.57 | 36 | 2,688.69 | +1,913.75 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?No | 2,150.49 | 98.8 | 2,125.76 | +690.69 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 4,929.72 | 42 | 2,070.48 | +1,185.6 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 1,628.71 | 99 | 1,613.24 | +714.71 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 1,634.85 | 97.6 | 1,596.43 | +305.7 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | 5,200.12 | 30.5 | 1,586.04 | −984.24 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 1,411.49 | 99 | 1,397.38 | +214.33 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 1,719.05 | 71.6 | 1,230.84 | +1,071.65 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 2,669.33 | 41.4 | 1,105.1 | −0.26 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 50,008.55 | 1.8 | 925.16 | −1,575.22 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No | 1,202.54 | 56.5 | 679.44 | +115.16 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 97,469.11 | 0.6 | 536.08 | −146.15 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 851.74 | 60.5 | 515.3 | −21.29 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | 3,199.7 | 16 | 511.95 | −380.69 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 97,469.11 | 0.2 | 243.67 | −146.18 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 7,926.84 | 1.8 | 146.65 | −7.35 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 15,915.19 | 0.8 | 135.28 | −198.96 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 30,000 | 0.4 | 135 | −74.98 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes | 2,654.2 | 4.4 | 116.78 | +50.86 |
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