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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 11 937,71 | 86 | 10 266,43 | +4 723,13 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?No | 22 464,89 | 34,2 | 7 694,22 | +2 138,34 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | 9 585,01 | 79 | 7 572,16 | +6 421,97 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | 24 606,73 | 25 | 6 163,99 | +1 046,57 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 8 266,53 | 71,5 | 5 910,57 | +157,33 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 4 051,29 | 96,1 | 3 893,29 | +2 494,63 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 19 466,49 | 19,5 | 3 795,97 | +387,11 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes | 8 806,18 | 41 | 3 610,53 | −402,96 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 5 289,09 | 56,5 | 2 988,34 | +26,45 |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?No | 3 279,85 | 87,4 | 2 864,95 | +825,59 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | 6 672,06 | 42,5 | 2 835,63 | +289,24 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 7 468,57 | 36,5 | 2 726,03 | +1 951,09 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 4 929,72 | 45 | 2 215,91 | +1 331,03 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?No | 2 150,49 | 99,8 | 2 146,19 | +711,12 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 1 634,85 | 99,2 | 1 622,59 | +331,86 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 1 628,71 | 99,6 | 1 622,2 | +723,67 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | 5 200,12 | 30,5 | 1 586,04 | −984,24 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 1 411,49 | 99,6 | 1 405,14 | +222,1 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 1 719,05 | 73 | 1 255,76 | +1 096,57 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 2 669,33 | 40,8 | 1 090,42 | −14,94 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 50 008,55 | 1,6 | 775,13 | −1 725,24 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 97 469,11 | 0,6 | 536,08 | −146,15 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 851,74 | 60,5 | 515,3 | −21,29 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | 3 199,7 | 15,5 | 495,95 | −396,69 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 97 469,11 | 0,2 | 243,67 | −146,18 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 7 926,84 | 1,8 | 146,65 | −7,35 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 15 915,19 | 0,8 | 135,28 | −198,96 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 30 000 | 0,4 | 135 | −74,98 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes | 2 654,2 | 4,4 | 118,11 | +52,18 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 2 716,01 | 4 | 107,28 | −1,38 |
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