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Proches au classement: #741 Capman #742 Grand-Paperwork #743 KrackenSruster #744 MysticFind #745 equalsignificance #746 AnonHorse #747 unwoundmouse #749 0xF751fbD76257AD498e02C1dA257aC6E31DF0FeC8-1780152076667 #750 Donkoo #751 herewego446
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | 89 498,83 | 79 | 70 704,08 | +28 189,27 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | 41 070,54 | 96,8 | 39 735,75 | +1 860,33 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | 42 452,1 | 88,5 | 37 570,11 | +2 320,56 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 34 817,29 | 93,5 | 32 554,16 | +466,9 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | 25 045,15 | 85,5 | 21 413,6 | +2 005,37 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 16 000 | 86,5 | 13 840 | +220,06 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No | 13 168,78 | 97,4 | 12 819,81 | +1 037,91 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 13 000 | 86,5 | 11 245 | +455 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No | 10 104,93 | 91,5 | 9 246,01 | +154,75 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | 8 951,56 | 97,7 | 8 745,67 | +459,95 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No | 7 000 | 93 | 6 510 | +290 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | 97 334,28 | 6,5 | 6 326,73 | −27 385,49 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 5 064,13 | 84,5 | 4 279,19 | +103,41 |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 2 000 | 86,5 | 1 730 | +90 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 3 547,72 | 41 | 1 454,57 | +17,74 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | 1 500 | 94,5 | 1 417,5 | +202,5 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | 1 000 | 100 | 999,5 | +249,5 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No | 1 000 | 96,4 | 964 | +54 |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes | 14 205,46 | 6 | 852,33 | −1 249,6 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | 966,67 | 86 | 831,33 | +247,94 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | 1 821,03 | 30,5 | 555,41 | −130,21 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | 8 976,74 | 5,5 | 493,72 | −4 948,97 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | 353,33 | 83 | 293,26 | +10,6 |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Yes | 286,61 | 74 | 212,09 | +73,21 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 231,96 | 80,5 | 186,73 | +87 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | 267,45 | 52 | 139,07 | +18,72 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 5 521,4 | 1,6 | 88,34 | 0 |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No | 64,2 | 92,5 | 59,38 | +2,25 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | 50,4 | 91,5 | 46,12 | +5,8 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 1 565,93 | 0 | 0 | −484,67 |
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