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Proches au classement: #248 ZerOptimist #249 mmklop #250 boyau #251 n.maga #252 KirksCousin #254 ZhangMuZhi.. #255 DrillBabyDrill-730 #256 Parz1vaI #257 rwo #258 notgonnatrickme
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 100 000 | 16,2 | 16 150 | +5 171,9 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 64 207,59 | 9,5 | 6 099,72 | −36 715,16 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 10 000 | 7,2 | 720 | +230 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | 7 777 | 6,5 | 505,5 | −194,43 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 500 | 79,5 | 397,5 | +332,5 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | 2 000 | 14 | 280 | −39,33 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | 5 555,5 | 4,9 | 272,22 | −277,07 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 2 000 | 13,5 | 270 | −50 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | 2 200 | 11,5 | 253 | −121 |
| 2H Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-1.5)Dallas Wings | 195 | 99,6 | 194,12 | +1,07 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | 2 549,96 | 4,3 | 109,65 | −79,43 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | 3 000,04 | 3,4 | 100,5 | −379,47 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | 99,99 | 60,5 | 60,49 | +7,5 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 10 000 | 0,4 | 45 | −55 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | 875,89 | 3 | 26,28 | −78,19 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | 2 460,87 | 1 | 24,61 | −88,15 |
| Will Trump name an AI czar by September 30, 2026?No | 20,1 | 99,6 | 20,03 | +0,07 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?No | 11,66 | 98,6 | 11,5 | −0,11 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Yes | 4 444,19 | 0,2 | 11,11 | −44,44 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | 125,68 | 6 | 7,54 | −16,83 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | 50,97 | 4 | 2,06 | −0,43 |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?Yes | 165 | 1,2 | 2,06 | −9,49 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | 1 143,88 | 0,2 | 1,72 | −111,02 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | 2 000 | 0 | 1 | −179 |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | 40 | 2 | 0,78 | −3,46 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | 1 023,6 | 0 | 0,51 | −161,74 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?Yes | 1 000 | 0 | 0,5 | −0,5 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | 1 625,83 | 0 | 0 | −39,02 |
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