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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 7,413.05 | 6.4 | 470.73 | −3.84 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | 21,272.81 | 2 | 414.82 | −21.68 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes | 806.57 | 50.6 | 408.53 | +322.78 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Yes | 1,749.91 | 20.6 | 359.61 | +300.32 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | 2,718.22 | 12.5 | 339.78 | +13.59 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | 3,317.3 | 8.5 | 281.97 | −68.12 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | 901.17 | 30.5 | 274.86 | −10.62 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No | 1,186 | 23 | 272.78 | +3.14 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?No | 327.2 | 80.5 | 263.4 | +81.24 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | 2,491 | 10.5 | 261.56 | −12.45 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | 7,771 | 3.4 | 260.33 | −19.3 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | 6,653.77 | 3.2 | 209.59 | −32.96 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?No | 364.18 | 57.5 | 209.4 | +132.93 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 16,729.4 | 1.2 | 192.39 | −108.69 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?No | 189.24 | 92.5 | 175.05 | +96.9 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | 5,150.35 | 3.2 | 167.39 | −32.58 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | 1,346.18 | 9.6 | 129.91 | +36.59 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes | 1,366.27 | 8.5 | 116.13 | +6.83 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 329.6 | 33.5 | 110.42 | +77.46 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | 468.69 | 21.6 | 101.24 | −29.52 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | 1,431.99 | 4.5 | 64.44 | −24.92 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?No | 69 | 89.5 | 61.76 | +20.36 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | 1,562.53 | 3.3 | 51.56 | −0.93 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 2,605.22 | 1.9 | 49.5 | −0.75 |
| Will Trump resign before 2027?Yes | 1,785.32 | 2.8 | 49.1 | −8.03 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes | 3,178.25 | 1.4 | 46.08 | +0.12 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1,729.15 | 2.6 | 45.82 | −46.52 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | 737.27 | 6.2 | 45.34 | +6.43 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | 500 | 8.6 | 43.25 | +0.25 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?Yes | 1,058.3 | 4 | 42.33 | −30.9 |
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