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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | 21.272,81 | 2 | 414,82 | −21,68 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes | 806,57 | 50,6 | 408,53 | +322,78 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Yes | 1.749,91 | 20,6 | 359,61 | +300,32 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | 2.718,22 | 12,5 | 339,78 | +13,59 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 6.169,05 | 4,7 | 289,95 | −104,98 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | 3.317,3 | 8,5 | 281,97 | −68,12 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | 901,17 | 30,5 | 274,86 | −10,62 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No | 1.186 | 23 | 272,78 | +3,14 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?No | 327,2 | 80,5 | 263,4 | +81,24 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | 2.491 | 10,5 | 261,56 | −12,45 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | 7.771 | 3,4 | 260,33 | −19,3 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | 6.653,77 | 3,2 | 209,59 | −32,96 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?No | 364,18 | 57,5 | 209,4 | +132,93 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 16.729,4 | 1,2 | 192,39 | −108,69 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?No | 189,24 | 92,5 | 175,05 | +96,9 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | 5.150,35 | 3,2 | 167,39 | −32,58 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | 1.346,18 | 9,8 | 131,25 | +37,93 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 329,6 | 36,5 | 120,3 | +87,35 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes | 1.366,27 | 8,5 | 116,13 | +6,83 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | 468,69 | 21,4 | 100,53 | −30,22 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | 1.431,99 | 4,5 | 64,44 | −24,92 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?No | 69 | 89,5 | 61,76 | +20,36 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | 614,2 | 8,6 | 53,13 | +0,31 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 2.605,22 | 1,9 | 49,5 | −0,75 |
| Will Trump resign before 2027?Yes | 1.785,32 | 2,8 | 49,1 | −8,03 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1.729,15 | 2,6 | 45,82 | −46,52 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | 737,27 | 6,2 | 45,34 | +6,43 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes | 3.076,92 | 1,4 | 44,62 | +0,12 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | 1.562,53 | 2,8 | 43,75 | −8,74 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?Yes | 1.058,3 | 4 | 42,33 | −30,9 |
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