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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | 16,668.78 | 90.5 | 15,085.24 | +1,092.31 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 14,716.38 | 79 | 11,625.94 | +566.62 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | 8,283.97 | 98.3 | 8,143.15 | +1,915.34 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 10,003.35 | 70.5 | 7,052.36 | +465.19 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 7,999.98 | 85.5 | 6,839.99 | +200.01 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 7,000 | 92.5 | 6,475 | −35 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 7,995.81 | 78.5 | 6,276.71 | +659.18 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No | 7,700.4 | 73 | 5,621.29 | −176.37 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 5,090.45 | 100 | 5,087.9 | +829.14 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 5,085.66 | 95.6 | 4,864.43 | +443.35 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?No | 4,650.39 | 88.5 | 4,115.6 | +185.3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | 13,196.71 | 20.5 | 2,705.33 | −7,986.35 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 2,672.12 | 86.5 | 2,311.38 | +209.04 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?No | 2,303.94 | 94.5 | 2,177.22 | +90.57 |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | 2,456.82 | 81.5 | 2,002.31 | −73.98 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 4,000 | 44.5 | 1,780 | +85 |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?No | 1,533.27 | 89.5 | 1,372.28 | +124.47 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 1,464.35 | 87.5 | 1,281.31 | +260.45 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 3,500 | 33.5 | 1,172.5 | −1,067.5 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 1,164.7 | 89.2 | 1,038.33 | +44.52 |
| Cornell President out by October 31?No | 823.35 | 93 | 765.72 | +23.27 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 759.51 | 99.4 | 755.33 | +3.99 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | 4,416.21 | 16.5 | 728.67 | −375.38 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?No | 222.91 | 94.8 | 211.21 | +11.74 |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | 72.2 | 88.5 | 63.9 | +34.3 |
| Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?No | 33.33 | 99.7 | 33.23 | +0.9 |
| FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?No | 30 | 92.5 | 27.75 | +0.75 |
| Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?No | 15 | 93 | 13.95 | +0.75 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | 1.64 | 92.5 | 1.52 | +0.04 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | 6,286.58 | 0 | 0 | −524.09 |
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